Misrepresenting Climate Change Economic Studies

“H.R. 2454 American Clean Energy and Security Act threatens the United States $14.4 trillion economy, measured by GDP, which is the largest national economy of the world. Of this amount, 7.5 percent ($1 trillion) of the US economy is attributed to by the oil and natural gas industry. To give you an idea of how the United States derives it source of energy, the below outlines the division of the energy industry:

* 40% from petroleum
* 23% from coal
* 23% from natural gas
* 7.4% from nuclear power
* 6.6% from renewable energy

Affect on Employment
The oil and natural gas industry alone represents 63% of US energy production and supplies the US economy with over nine million jobs to Americans. However, according to the Brookings study, H.R. 2454 would cause a 15% decline in refining employment and a 35% drop in crude oil employment1. Buttressing Brookings Study, the National Black Chamber of Commerce found that a net 2.5 million jobs will be lost after accounting for the new green jobs being created.

Affect on Individual Finances
According to the Heritage foundation, the Waxman-Markey (H.R. 2454) would cost the economy $161 billion in 2020; which equates to about $1,900 for a family of four. As the emissions limits decrease, the costs rises to $6,800 per family by 2035. In today’s terms, according to the Congressional Budget Office, the net present value of the bill would equate to approximately $12,000. Another way of stating the above statistics to more practical terms; the Congressional Budget office states that H.R. 2454 would add up to 77 cents per gallon of gasoline, while the Heritage Foundation has a more conservative analysis of gasoline prices rising by more then 74% by 2035.”

-Heriberto Latigo, Houston Personal Finance Examiner

http://www.examiner.com/x-17064-Houston-Personal-Finance-Examiner~y2009m10d4-HR-2454-American-Clean-Energy-and-Security-Act

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Heriberto Latigo makes it sound like the Brookings Study is on this particular bill and that the analysis is meant as evidence against the move. Actually, if you click on the first link in his Bibliography, the Brooking Report which he claims to be getting his information about the bill from and you’ll see this:

* Not an analysis of particular bills
*Not a cost?benefit analysis
» Looking only at mitigation costs and emissions
reductions
* Looking for ways to pursue environmental goals at lower cost

So that tells you right off that the study isn’t what he makes it out to be. However, a fact sheet reveals that the current bill is “consistent” with some of the emission paths the study looks at. Here are the key findings:

The study estimates that alternative paths to reach an emission reduction target of 83% below 2005 levels by 2050 will:

• reduce cumulative U.S. emissions by 38% to 49%, about 110 to 140 billion metric tons CO2
• reduce total personal consumption by 0.3% to 0.5%, or about $1 to $2 trillion in discounted present
value from 2010 to 2050
• reduce the level of U.S. GDP by around 2.5% relative to what it otherwise would have been in 2050
• reduce employment levels by 0.5% in the first decade, with large differences across sectors
• create an annual value of emission allowances peaking at around $300 billion by 2030, and a total value
of about $9 trillion from 2012 to 2050

http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/events/2009/0608_climate_change_economy/20090608_cap_trade.pdf

Below is a picture showing the huge impact that the bill will have on our economy. You need a magnifying glass just to see the differences in 2050.

Brookings Study Graph

But Heriberto Latigo isn’t the only one trying to misrepresent that report, as you can see here:

http://climateprogress.org/2009/06/09/brookings-study-waxman-markey-economy/

And what’s the second source he claims “buttresses the Brookings Report”? The National Black Chamebr of Commerce. Just put that into Wikipedia and you see that they are sponsored by:

* Tobacco Company Altria. NBCC has opposed tobacco control legislation.
* ExxonMobil has provided $225,000, per a Greenpeace analysis titled ExxonMobil’s Continued Funding of Global Warming Denial Industry[1]
* AT&T and Verizon. NBCC has opposed Network Neutrality, a position strongly held by AT&T and Verizon.
* Comcast. NBCC has opposed A La Carte pricing, a position strongly held by Comcast.

And what are their other positions on legislation?

* In testimony submitted to the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions regarding Senate Bill S.625, the NBCC stated that it opposes increased Food and Drug Administration regulation of tobacco. The reason for its opposition is that the regulation would impose fees affecting small tobacco retailing and distribution businesses in the U.S., many of which are owned by Black Americans.[2] The statement contained no reference to health risks associated with using tobacco products.
* The NBCC indicated that the Microsoft settlement was inadequate in terms of consumer protection and that additional remedies were required

And what’s source #3? An oldie but a goodie. The Heritage Foundation. A conservtive think tank that uses the supply side business model of Reagan and Bush II. Here’s one of their key strengths according to Wikipedia:

“Heritage’s influence is also due in part to its decision to publish shorter policy papers that are designed to convey usually complex topics in an executive summary format more likely to be read by governmental officials. Other Washington think tanks historically have produced lengthier publications or book-length works, which Heritage also publishes, but only rarely.”

So that’s why they’re so much more popular than the American Enterprise Institute and other right-wing think tanks. They publish “Far Right-Wing Ideology for Dummies.”

Do You Want to Live on Mars?

Bill Maher’s New Rules for 10/02
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0O6HwAXm1s4

Dust Storm in Australia Turns the Sky Black in One Minute
http://www.videosift.com/video/Dust-storm-in-Australia-turns-the-sky-BLACK-in-one-minute

Poll: Americans See a Climate Problem
http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1176967,00.html

Fair Carbon Means No Carbon for Rich Countires
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20327266.500-fair-carbon-means-no-carbon-for-rich-countries.html

Costs of Adapting to Climate Change Significantly Under-Estimated
http://www.iied.org/climate-change/key-issues/economics-and-equity-adaptation/costs-adapting-climate-change-significantly-under-estimated

Are Sunspots Disappearing?
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2009/03sep_sunspots.htm

UN Plans ‘Shock Therapy’ For World Leaders on Environment
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/sep/20/united-nations-summit-climate-change

Ocean Acidification: Climate Change’s Evil Twin

Ocean Acidification: Climate Change’s Evil Twin

“People might be surprised to learn that greenhouse gases (and in particular, carbon dioxide) are also altering the ocean and pose an independent and equally serious threat to marine life. In fact this change, making the oceans more acidic, is a direct threat to the survival of lobsters, oysters and other marine animals that are an essential element in the life and culture of New England…. When carbon dioxide dissolves in seawater, it forms carbonic acid. According to the UN, the ocean has become 30% more acidic since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution.”

http://www.clf.org/blog/?p=23

Duke Energy quits coal front group over climate bill — GE and Caterpillar should do the same
http://climateprogress.org/2009/09/02/duke-energy-quits-clean-coal-front-group-accce-over-climate-bill-ge-caterpillar-alstom/

Study links drought with rising emissions
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/global-warming/study-links-drought-with-rising-emissions-20090815-elpf.html

New report shows China maintains momentum in its clean revolution
http://www.theclimategroup.org/news_and_events/chinas_clean_revolution_ii/

China’s Emissions Plans May Cost $438 Billion a Year, FT Says
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601101&sid=aSUCF5ODdugo

Beijing’s Growing Appetite for Climate Action
http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2009/08/peaking_duck.html

China study urges greenhouse gas caps, peak in 2030
http://www.reuters.com/article/environmentNews/idUSTRE57G0C520090817

‘China will sign’ global treaty if U.S. passes climate bill, E.U. leader says
http://climateprogress.org/2009/08/26/china-sign-global-treaty-if-senate-passes-climate-bill-europe/

Is China The New OPEC For Green Energy?
http://business.theatlantic.com/2009/09/is_china_the_new_opec_for_green_energy.php

Poll shows support for energy bill

“Further, 60 percent of respondents said they would be more likely to vote for their senator if he or she supported the bill while just 26 percent said they’d be less inclined to re-elect their senator for backing the “American Clean Energy and Security Act.”

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0909/26698.html#ixzz0Q4kYGWRU

More “We’re All Going to Die” Links

For most people, the Scopes Monkey trial is a symbol of rigid Fundamentalism trying to take science out of the education process, but not to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. They are actually calling for the EPA to hold a “Scopes”-like hearing on the evidence climate change is manmade:

http://climateprogress.org/2009/08/25/memo-to-alcoa-kodak-ibm-nike-pepsi-toyota-luddite-chamber-of-commerce-seeks-the-scopes-monkey-trial-global-warming/

It’s funny that the same side that argues Global Warming is like a religion use their own highly-questionable interpretations of the Bible to make their points:

http://climateprogress.org/2009/07/31/lobbyist-dick-armey-gospel-of-pollution-global-warming/

Here’s an article about how three benchmark glaciers used by geological surveys shows that a major meltdown is imminent:

http://www.cnn.com/2009/TECH/science/08/07/global.warming/index.html

Here’s some declassified spy satellites hidden by the Bush Administration showing retreating polar icecaps:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/jul/26/climate-change-obama-administration

Here’s the latest in a series of studies that found glaciers melting faster than anyone predicted:

http://www.cnn.com/2009/TECH/science/08/07/global.warming/index.html

Here’s an article about how water melting from Antarctica could flood Washington D.C.:

http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16545-antarctic-bulge-could-flood-washington-dc.html

Here’s an article about how hot climates can create sluggish economies:

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=106697286

“Recent war games and intelligence studies conclude that over the next 20 to 30 years, vulnerable regions, particularly sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East and South and Southeast Asia, will face the prospect of food shortages, water crises and catastrophic flooding driven by climate change that could demand an American humanitarian relief or military response.”

Here’s the Top Ten Bogus Statements (BS) in the Climate Change Debate:

http://climateprogress.org/author/bill-becker/

Here’s a funny Daily Show clip about the birthers:

http://www.thedailyshow.com/watch/wed-july-22-2009/the-born-identity

Here’s an article about how Bush believed the Iraq War had been foretold in Revelation as the prophecy of ‘Gog and Magog’:

http://sedulia.blogs.com/sedulias_translations/2009/05/bush-chirac-gog-and-magog.html

Andrew Sullivan on the Bailouts:

“It’s despotism when we lose, freedom when we win. We should have more confidence in the people and the country than this. We should also have more charity to our political opponents – who after all are contending with hideous problems bequeathed to them by … by … well suddenly we Republicans cannot seem to remember who preceded Barack Obama in office. To listen to us, you’d think that the bailouts and takeovers started on January 20, 2009, not the previous March. You’d never know that TARP was supported by almost every Republican commentator, including the editors of National Review. Or that Vice President Cheney argued urgently in favor of the rescue of the Detroit automakers. Or that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac enjoyed the backing of Republican as well as Democratic lawmakers.

One bad election converts us from ardent admirers of the American people to glum declinists who can see only a miserable moldering of a once great nation. I should have thought that conservative patriotism was made of stronger stuff.”

http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2009/07/who-was-president-before-obama.html

New GOP Strategy: Dems are Too Pro-Business and Anti-Climate

“Republican staffers for the Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works say Republicans should argue that Democrats are embracing “Wall Street traders,” “polluters” and “others in corporate America” who are “guilty of manipulating national climate policy to increase profits on the backs of consumers.” I really wish I could come up with an appropriate comment for this.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0509/22734.html

Now that health care has gotten so bad that even Big Business wants it reformed due to overinflated costs, the GOP is staying out of the health care debate. So who’s stepping up to fight it? The Swiftboaters of course! Led by none other than a former Hospital CEO who resigned due to fraud.

http://videocafe.crooksandliars.com/heather/rachel-maddow-worst-spokesperson-ever-rick-scott

Alan Keyes calls on America to stop the “radical Communist” Obama before America “ceases to exist.” Funny terminology considering Obama opposed reparations his entire political career, including when he ran against Alan Keyes in 2004 at a time when Alan Keyes supported reparations.

http://crooksandliars.com/david-neiwert/alan-keyes-we-must-stop-radical-comm